Monaco vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
67.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
MON
2 - 1
REN
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
RVA
1 - 5
MON
6%
14%
80%
|
83 | 44 | 39 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
REI
0 - 1
MON
26%
25%
50%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
MON
2 - 3
LYO
34%
23%
43%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
ANG
0 - 1
MON
23%
24%
53%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
PSG
4 - 0
REI
81%
13%
6%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
MPL
2 - 2
PSG
9%
16%
75%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
REN
1 - 1
PSG
9%
16%
75%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
MAC
2 - 0
PSG
64%
19%
18%
|
91 | 96 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
PSG
2 - 1
LEN
82%
12%
6%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |