Monaco vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
BAS
0 - 0
MON
22%
25%
53%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2004 |
MON
3 - 0
LYO
54%
23%
23%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
MET
0 - 2
MON
23%
26%
51%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
REN
1 - 0
MON
25%
25%
50%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
MON
2 - 0
STR
75%
16%
9%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
NIC
0 - 1
LMU
49%
27%
24%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2004 |
ASS
2 - 0
NIC
38%
28%
33%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
SOC
0 - 0
NIC
65%
21%
15%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
MOU
0 - 1
NIC
12%
22%
65%
|
82 | 47 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
NIC
2 - 0
GUI
38%
27%
35%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |