Monaco vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
22%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2012 |
MON
2 - 2
LEN
42%
28%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
AMI
1 - 2
MON
29%
28%
43%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
IST
0 - 1
MON
30%
27%
43%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2012 |
ANG
4 - 3
MON
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
MON
0 - 0
CLE
49%
27%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
BAS
5 - 1
TRO
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 3
FRE
83%
13%
4%
|
71 | 39 | 32 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
CLE
2 - 1
BAS
50%
26%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
VAL
3 - 1
BAS
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 0
LHA
56%
25%
20%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |