Molenbaix vs Houdeng analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
19.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molenbaix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
MON
2 - 0
MOL
22%
20%
58%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
HOR
2 - 0
MOL
35%
22%
44%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
MOL
5 - 0
REB
72%
16%
13%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
LER
0 - 1
MOL
40%
22%
39%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
MOL
1 - 1
HOR
52%
21%
28%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Houdeng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
HOU
1 - 1
HOR
30%
22%
48%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
HOU
2 - 0
LER
30%
23%
47%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
ACM
1 - 2
HOU
57%
20%
23%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MON
3 - 0
HOU
42%
22%
36%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
HOU
1 - 2
LER
35%
23%
42%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |