Molenbaix vs Belœil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
33.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
4º
2º
76
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
76 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
51.5% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
51.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 53 |
4º
|
83% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
83% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
86% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
86% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 28 |
14º
|
86% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
86% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molenbaix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
LUI
1 - 1
MOL
11%
16%
73%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MOL
9 - 1
MON
80%
12%
8%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
RAN
1 - 2
MOL
27%
22%
51%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SOL
0 - 1
MOL
20%
20%
60%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MOL
2 - 4
SOI
75%
14%
11%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Belœil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
3 - 2
SOL
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SOI
2 - 2
BEL
18%
20%
62%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
3 - 2
RMO
80%
14%
7%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
PER
2 - 2
BEL
26%
22%
53%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BEL
3 - 0
HOR
69%
18%
13%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |