Molde FK vs Rosenborg BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
21.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
5º
5º
53
3º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions league qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molde FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2024 |
MFK
4 - 2
S08
64%
19%
17%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SDF
3 - 1
MFK
14%
20%
66%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
HOD
1 - 3
MFK
9%
17%
75%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MFK
2 - 1
HAU
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
STR
1 - 2
MFK
7%
14%
79%
|
84 | 48 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Rosenborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
BBS
3 - 0
RBK
50%
24%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
FFK
1 - 0
RBK
25%
23%
52%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
RBK
1 - 3
BOG
30%
23%
47%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
ULL
1 - 3
RBK
9%
15%
76%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
HAU
1 - 3
RBK
25%
24%
51%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |