Molde FK vs Hønefoss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molde FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
MFK
2 - 0
SOG
70%
19%
12%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2011 |
STR
0 - 1
MFK
46%
24%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2011 |
MFK
5 - 1
IKS
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
HAU
5 - 0
MFK
41%
24%
35%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
TIL
1 - 7
MFK
8%
14%
78%
|
79 | 37 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
MJO
2 - 2
HON
34%
26%
41%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2011 |
HON
5 - 3
NYB
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2011 |
HON
3 - 2
BOG
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
BRY
0 - 1
HON
45%
24%
31%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
HON
1 - 2
STR
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |