Moldova U19s vs Croacia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
57.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moldova U19s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2011 |
NLD
3 - 0
MDA
73%
18%
10%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2011 |
MDA
0 - 2
WLS
44%
24%
32%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
SRB
5 - 0
MDA
78%
15%
7%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2011 |
NOR
4 - 0
MDA
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
FIN
6 - 2
MDA
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Croacia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2011 |
HRV
4 - 2
FIN
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
HRV
0 - 1
PRT
44%
24%
33%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2011 |
BEL
3 - 2
HRV
43%
24%
33%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2011 |
EST
0 - 1
HRV
18%
21%
61%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
HRV
1 - 3
ITA
44%
24%
32%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |