Moldavia U21 vs Luxembourg U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moldavia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2008 |
MDA
1 - 0
DEU
10%
18%
71%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
ISR
1 - 0
MDA
71%
18%
12%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2008 |
MDA
0 - 0
ROU
19%
23%
58%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2007 |
NIR
3 - 0
MDA
49%
24%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
DEU
3 - 0
MDA
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Luxembourg U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2008 |
LUX
0 - 5
ISR
24%
23%
53%
|
19 | 64 | 45 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
DEU
6 - 0
LUX
82%
13%
5%
|
20 | 76 | 56 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2007 |
LUX
0 - 7
DEU
10%
16%
74%
|
20 | 76 | 56 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
NIR
5 - 0
LUX
77%
15%
8%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
LUX
0 - 2
MDA
25%
24%
51%
|
20 | 50 | 30 | 0 |