Moita do Boi vs Guiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
42.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moita do Boi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
PAT
1 - 3
MDB
20%
21%
60%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
GDA
4 - 4
MDB
79%
13%
8%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ALQ
2 - 1
MDB
34%
23%
43%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MDB
6 - 0
PEL
57%
21%
22%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PEN
3 - 1
MDB
68%
19%
13%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Guiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
GUI
2 - 2
CUL
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
VIE
0 - 0
GUI
28%
23%
49%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
GUI
2 - 0
NAZ
58%
21%
21%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ALV
1 - 1
GUI
28%
22%
50%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
GUI
4 - 0
BEN
55%
22%
23%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |