Moinhos vs Marialvas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
12.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moinhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
RIB
0 - 5
MOI
12%
18%
71%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MOI
5 - 1
PER
70%
17%
13%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
AGU
2 - 0
MOI
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
MOI
0 - 1
GOI
47%
23%
30%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
POI
3 - 1
MOI
53%
22%
26%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Marialvas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
ADE
45%
23%
32%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
VRA
1 - 0
MAR
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 1
LOU
45%
23%
32%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
SEP
1 - 2
MAR
32%
23%
45%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
4 - 0
GAN
43%
23%
34%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +2 |