Mogren vs Lovcen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
12.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
MOG
2 - 3
ZET
50%
26%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
PET
0 - 1
MOG
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
MOG
2 - 1
MLA
61%
23%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
GRB
1 - 0
MOG
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
MOG
3 - 0
DEC
67%
21%
12%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lovcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
LOV
2 - 0
BER
43%
29%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ZET
3 - 2
LOV
66%
22%
13%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
LOV
1 - 0
SUT
39%
30%
31%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
PET
1 - 0
LOV
60%
25%
16%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
LOV
1 - 1
BOK
42%
29%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |