Mogi Mirim vs São Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
28.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2023 |
MOG
0 - 2
GDS
25%
21%
54%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
IND
0 - 2
MOG
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
MOG
0 - 2
UNI
13%
17%
70%
|
28 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
MOG
1 - 3
ECN
35%
25%
40%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 0
MOG
52%
23%
25%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 2
IND
34%
27%
39%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
ECN
3 - 0
SAO
59%
22%
19%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 1
GDS
27%
24%
49%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 1
SAO
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 0
MOG
52%
23%
25%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |