Paulista B 1ª Fase - Group stage Round 6

Mogi Mirim vs São Carlos analysis

Mogi Mirim São Carlos
28 ELO 31
3.5% Tilt 0.5%
19793º General ELO ranking 9843º
646º Country ELO ranking 407º
ELO win probability
46.8%
Mogi Mirim
23.7%
Draw
29.6%
São Carlos

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
Mogi Mirim
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
29.6%
Win probability
São Carlos
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Mogi Mirim
São Carlos
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mogi Mirim
Mogi Mirim
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 May. 2023
MOG
Mogi Mirim
0 - 2
Grêmio Sãocarlense
GDS
24%
21%
55%
29 44 15 0
14 May. 2023
IND
Independente SP
0 - 2
Mogi Mirim
MOG
66%
19%
15%
28 41 13 +1
07 May. 2023
MOG
Mogi Mirim
0 - 2
União São João
UNI
11%
16%
74%
28 55 27 0
30 Apr. 2023
MOG
Mogi Mirim
1 - 3
XV de Novembro
ECN
35%
25%
39%
29 39 10 -1
22 Apr. 2023
SAO
São Carlos
1 - 0
Mogi Mirim
MOG
52%
23%
25%
30 35 5 -1

Matches

São Carlos
São Carlos
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 May. 2023
SAO
São Carlos
0 - 2
Independente SP
IND
34%
27%
39%
33 40 7 0
14 May. 2023
ECN
XV de Novembro
3 - 0
São Carlos
SAO
59%
22%
19%
34 41 7 -1
06 May. 2023
SAO
São Carlos
0 - 1
Grêmio Sãocarlense
GDS
26%
23%
51%
35 44 9 -1
30 Apr. 2023
UNI
União São João
3 - 1
São Carlos
SAO
79%
14%
7%
36 55 19 -1
22 Apr. 2023
SAO
São Carlos
1 - 0
Mogi Mirim
MOG
52%
23%
25%
35 30 5 +1