Mogi Mirim vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
39.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
AMF
3 - 1
MOG
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
MOG
0 - 1
CRB
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
PAR
3 - 1
MOG
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
MOG
1 - 1
VIT
21%
27%
52%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
BOT
3 - 0
MOG
74%
17%
8%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
NAU
2 - 1
OES
49%
25%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
ABC
3 - 3
NAU
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2015 |
NAU
1 - 1
PAY
48%
26%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 0
NAU
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
NAU
2 - 1
AMF
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |