Modum vs Vestli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.8%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.8%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
10%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.7%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.5%
3.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
LYN
0 - 1
MOD
84%
12%
4%
|
30 | 65 | 35 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
MOD
2 - 2
RIL
82%
12%
7%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
ROA
3 - 2
MOD
19%
22%
59%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
MOD
5 - 1
LOM
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2012 |
MOD
1 - 2
BAE
81%
12%
7%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Vestli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 2
MJO
15%
19%
66%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
ULL
5 - 2
VIL
86%
10%
4%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 8
LYN
11%
19%
70%
|
12 | 64 | 52 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 2
RIL
23%
22%
56%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
ROA
5 - 2
VIL
74%
15%
11%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |