Modum vs Vestfossen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
32.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
MOD
2 - 0
SKA
63%
19%
18%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
FKT
4 - 1
MOD
90%
8%
3%
|
22 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
MOD
3 - 0
BAE
35%
21%
45%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ETO
3 - 3
MOD
70%
17%
14%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
MOD
1 - 2
STR
34%
21%
45%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Vestfossen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
FBK
1 - 1
VIF
22%
20%
58%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
VIF
4 - 2
SKA
61%
19%
21%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
BIR
1 - 4
VIF
16%
18%
67%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
VIF
2 - 3
FKT
12%
18%
70%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
LOM
6 - 1
VIF
70%
16%
14%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |