Modum vs Vestfossen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.2%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.6%
6.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
LOK
2 - 1
MOD
32%
23%
45%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2014 |
MOD
4 - 0
ODS
74%
14%
12%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2014 |
MOD
4 - 1
AIF
82%
11%
7%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
JEV
3 - 1
MOD
55%
20%
25%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
MOD
3 - 2
DRA
63%
18%
19%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vestfossen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
VIF
2 - 1
LOK
27%
22%
51%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
ASK
6 - 0
VIF
74%
14%
12%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2014 |
AIF
1 - 1
VIF
57%
20%
23%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2014 |
VIF
2 - 6
JEV
20%
20%
61%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2014 |
DRA
6 - 3
VIF
78%
13%
9%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |