Modling vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modling
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1993 |
2 - 0
MOD
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1993 |
MOD
1 - 1
RAP
49%
25%
27%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1993 |
RBS
1 - 2
MOD
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 1993 |
MOD
1 - 0
VSE
66%
19%
15%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1993 |
MOD
2 - 1
VOR
66%
20%
15%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1993 |
STR
2 - 4
AUS
25%
28%
47%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1993 |
TIR
4 - 2
STR
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1993 |
STR
3 - 1
WIE
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1993 |
VOR
0 - 1
STR
49%
26%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 1993 |
2 - 2
STR
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |