Modica vs Turris Neapolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
56.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
HYR
1 - 2
MOD
24%
24%
51%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
MOD
1 - 0
NOT
31%
25%
45%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
FOR
3 - 1
MOD
73%
17%
10%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
MOD
0 - 2
VAL
31%
25%
45%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
MES
2 - 1
MOD
70%
20%
11%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Turris Neapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
TUR
3 - 0
ACI
33%
27%
40%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
NIS
1 - 1
TUR
44%
25%
31%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
TUR
2 - 1
REA
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
CIT
3 - 3
TUR
34%
24%
42%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
TUR
2 - 1
ASD
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |