Modena U19 vs Novara U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
54.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
JUV
1 - 0
MOD
78%
14%
7%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
MOD
3 - 0
PAR
12%
22%
67%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | +5 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
MOD
1 - 0
SAM
10%
20%
70%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | +3 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
LIV
2 - 1
MOD
74%
18%
9%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
MOD
0 - 1
BOL
13%
22%
65%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Novara U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 0
NOV
41%
24%
35%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
NOV
3 - 0
SAS
76%
15%
9%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
EMP
3 - 1
NOV
49%
24%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
NOV
3 - 0
GEN
29%
25%
46%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +4 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
FIO
4 - 0
NOV
63%
20%
17%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -2 |