Modena Sub 19 vs Cagliari Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
44.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
MOD
0 - 1
SAS
50%
24%
27%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
EMP
3 - 0
MOD
67%
20%
13%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
MOD
0 - 1
SAM
32%
26%
42%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
SIE
1 - 1
MOD
42%
27%
32%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
LIV
1 - 1
MOD
57%
23%
20%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
CAG
2 - 0
EMP
30%
26%
44%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CAG
3 - 3
LIV
28%
24%
48%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
PAR
6 - 2
CAG
46%
25%
29%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
CAG
3 - 2
JUV
17%
22%
61%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
NOV
3 - 1
CAG
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |