Modena vs Calcio Foggia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
31.3%
Draw
0-0
14.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.3%
29.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
CAT
4 - 1
MOD
51%
29%
20%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
MOD
2 - 4
TER
36%
31%
33%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
SSS
0 - 0
MOD
55%
28%
17%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1976 |
PIA
2 - 1
MOD
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
MOD
0 - 0
NOV
44%
30%
26%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
USF
2 - 1
PIA
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
VAR
1 - 1
USF
62%
25%
13%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
CAT
0 - 0
USF
42%
32%
27%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1976 |
USF
0 - 0
BRE
61%
25%
14%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
AVE
2 - 0
USF
43%
30%
27%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |