Modena vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
31.4%
Draw
0-0
14.3%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.4%
32.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
SSS
0 - 0
MOD
55%
28%
17%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1976 |
PIA
2 - 1
MOD
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
MOD
0 - 0
NOV
44%
30%
26%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
PAL
1 - 0
MOD
58%
26%
16%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1976 |
MOD
0 - 2
GEN
39%
31%
30%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
TER
1 - 0
ATL
60%
25%
15%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1976 |
VAR
0 - 0
TER
56%
27%
18%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
TER
2 - 0
REG
63%
24%
13%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
PIA
3 - 2
TER
44%
28%
29%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1976 |
SSS
0 - 0
TER
37%
32%
32%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |