Modena vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
12.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
CES
0 - 0
MOD
55%
25%
21%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
MOD
1 - 2
FCS
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
MAN
0 - 0
MOD
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
MOD
2 - 1
CAR
30%
27%
43%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
IMO
0 - 1
MOD
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
FER
1 - 1
MAT
34%
28%
37%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
TRI
3 - 1
FER
60%
24%
16%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
FER
0 - 0
FAN
51%
27%
22%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
CES
1 - 1
FER
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
FER
0 - 1
CAR
16%
26%
58%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |