Modena vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
28%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2007 |
PIA
5 - 1
MOD
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
LEC
1 - 0
MOD
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2007 |
MOD
1 - 1
BOL
32%
30%
38%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2007 |
PES
2 - 6
MOD
35%
28%
37%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
MOD
0 - 0
RIM
39%
29%
32%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
CRO
0 - 3
GEN
41%
26%
32%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
CRO
2 - 1
NAP
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
ABN
2 - 1
CRO
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
CRO
0 - 1
VER
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
TRE
1 - 2
CRO
47%
27%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |