Modena vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
MOD
1 - 1
UNI
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
PAV
2 - 0
MOD
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
MOD
4 - 2
PAD
54%
25%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
MOD
2 - 1
PAR
29%
24%
47%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
ASS
1 - 1
MOD
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
VIC
1 - 0
CAG
56%
22%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
CAG
1 - 1
ASS
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
CAG
1 - 1
BRE
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
COM
1 - 0
CAG
55%
22%
23%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
ACM
3 - 0
CAG
48%
24%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |