Modena vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
4.9%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CAL
1 - 1
MOD
15%
23%
62%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
MOD
0 - 1
CLA
83%
13%
4%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
FIO
0 - 3
MOD
22%
27%
51%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
MOD
4 - 0
FAN
72%
18%
10%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
CRE
1 - 1
MOD
21%
25%
54%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
PAV
0 - 1
ADR
49%
22%
30%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
CAL
2 - 0
PAV
40%
22%
38%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
PAV
0 - 3
ASD
64%
19%
17%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
PAV
0 - 2
FIO
48%
25%
27%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
REG
3 - 0
PAV
69%
20%
12%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |