Modena vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
16.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
MOD
0 - 0
TOR
47%
28%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
TRI
0 - 2
MOD
35%
29%
37%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
MOD
1 - 1
EMP
39%
28%
32%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
SAL
2 - 2
MOD
36%
29%
35%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
MOD
2 - 0
VER
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
CES
1 - 1
PES
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
EMP
0 - 0
CES
66%
22%
13%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
CES
1 - 1
SAL
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
TRE
3 - 1
CES
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2005 |
CES
0 - 1
ARZ
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |