Modena vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
24.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1993 |
SPA
2 - 1
MOD
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1993 |
MOD
2 - 0
PAD
52%
28%
20%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1993 |
TAR
0 - 0
MOD
42%
29%
29%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1993 |
MOD
4 - 1
ASC
39%
29%
32%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1993 |
BAR
2 - 1
MOD
63%
23%
14%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1993 |
CES
0 - 1
PIS
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1993 |
LEC
1 - 0
CES
52%
28%
20%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1993 |
CES
2 - 2
VNZ
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1993 |
USC
1 - 0
CES
57%
26%
18%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1993 |
TAR
0 - 3
CES
37%
32%
31%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |