Modbury Jets vs Adelaide City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
66%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+177%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modbury Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
ADE
1 - 0
MOD
74%
16%
10%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2011 |
MOD
2 - 1
CRO
37%
24%
39%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
WES
1 - 0
MOD
67%
19%
15%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
MOD
1 - 1
ADG
25%
24%
52%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
MOD
1 - 4
ADE
42%
24%
34%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Adelaide City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
CAM
0 - 3
ADE
15%
22%
63%
|
51 | 22 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
ADE
4 - 1
ADE
85%
11%
4%
|
51 | 23 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
CRO
1 - 3
ADE
14%
21%
65%
|
51 | 15 | 36 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2011 |
ADE
1 - 1
WES
85%
11%
4%
|
51 | 17 | 34 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2011 |
ADE
2 - 1
ADG
86%
10%
4%
|
51 | 20 | 31 | 0 |