Moca vs Jarabacoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
29.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
AVR
1 - 1
MOC
41%
28%
31%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
AFC
1 - 1
MOC
40%
29%
31%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
MOC
1 - 0
BAR
61%
23%
17%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
ASF
1 - 0
MOC
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
MOC
2 - 1
CFC
25%
27%
49%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Jarabacoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
JAR
2 - 0
BAR
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
CFC
2 - 0
JAR
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
JAR
1 - 1
SCR
63%
23%
15%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 0
JAR
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
JAR
1 - 0
AVR
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |