Ponsacco vs Ghivizzano Borgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
43.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
6º
18º
15º
43
2º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 61 |
2º
|
98.5% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
64% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
83.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
68% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
57% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
26.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
20% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
80% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponsacco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
MPO
2 - 1
ACS
25%
25%
51%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
FLA
3 - 1
MPO
72%
18%
11%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MPO
1 - 2
GAV
14%
20%
66%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ORV
1 - 0
MPO
37%
23%
40%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MPO
0 - 3
USP
17%
22%
62%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -2 |
Matches
Ghivizzano Borgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
GRO
4 - 4
GHI
60%
22%
18%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
GHI
0 - 3
SER
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
GHI
0 - 0
FLA
32%
23%
45%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ATT
3 - 0
GHI
25%
22%
53%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
GHI
3 - 2
ORV
74%
15%
11%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |