MO Constantine vs ES Mostaganem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MO Constantine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2005 |
AMA
2 - 0
CON
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2005 |
CON
3 - 1
CHE
60%
23%
18%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2005 |
KOU
0 - 1
CON
42%
28%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2005 |
CON
1 - 0
USM
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 2004 |
CON
1 - 1
ASM
33%
27%
40%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
ES Mostaganem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2005 |
ESM
1 - 1
EUL
31%
27%
42%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2005 |
MCS
3 - 1
ESM
55%
22%
22%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2005 |
ESM
1 - 2
MOH
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2005 |
CAB
3 - 0
ESM
55%
25%
21%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 2004 |
MOB
2 - 1
ESM
58%
23%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |