Q. Europa League 2nd Round Final
Global 4-0
Mladá Boleslav vs Thór analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.9%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mladá Boleslav
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
MBO
3 - 0
JAB
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
ESK
1 - 0
MBO
26%
26%
48%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
MBO
0 - 1
VKP
40%
24%
36%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
DUK
1 - 2
MBO
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MBO
2 - 0
SPA
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Thór
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
THO
5 - 1
BOH
35%
25%
39%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2012 |
FJO
0 - 0
THO
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
BOH
0 - 0
THO
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2012 |
THO
0 - 2
VIK
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2012 |
KAA
3 - 2
THO
28%
25%
47%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |