Mixto vs Brasília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 2
MIX
36%
27%
37%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
MIX
1 - 0
GOI
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
AGU
2 - 1
MIX
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
MIX
1 - 0
APA
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
CUI
2 - 1
MIX
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
GOI
1 - 0
BRA
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 2
MIX
36%
27%
37%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 1
AGU
29%
26%
45%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
APA
3 - 0
BRA
63%
20%
17%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
BRA
3 - 0
BRA
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -2 |