Mixco vs Zacapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
23.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
8º
3º
11
5º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
MIX
1 - 0
ACH
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
MUN
0 - 0
MIX
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
MIX
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MIX
2 - 0
ANT
41%
28%
32%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ZAC
1 - 0
MIX
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Zacapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ZAC
0 - 0
MUN
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ANT
1 - 0
ZAC
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
ZAC
0 - 1
ACH
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
GUA
6 - 0
ZAC
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ZAC
1 - 0
MIX
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |