Mixco vs Achuapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
44.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
12º
6º
23
8º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 24 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 21 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 20 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 49% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 51% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
IZT
3 - 1
MIX
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MIX
2 - 2
IZT
24%
26%
51%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ACH
4 - 1
MIX
52%
27%
21%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
MIX
2 - 2
COB
24%
27%
49%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MUN
1 - 0
MIX
64%
22%
14%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ACH
0 - 0
COB
35%
28%
38%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
ANT
2 - 0
ACH
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
ACH
1 - 1
ANT
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
CHI
1 - 1
ACH
46%
27%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ACH
4 - 1
MIX
52%
27%
21%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |