Misto vs Nova Andradina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
13%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Misto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
CAM
0 - 3
MIS
28%
25%
47%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
MIS
0 - 1
ITA
39%
25%
37%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
CAM
1 - 1
MIS
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
MIS
2 - 1
COX
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2009 |
RIO
1 - 3
MIS
24%
25%
51%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Nova Andradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 1
OPE
31%
25%
45%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 3
CEN
21%
23%
57%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
ITA
3 - 1
NOV
72%
17%
11%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
RIO
0 - 4
NOV
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
NOV
2 - 0
COX
43%
24%
32%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |