Mirassol vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.6%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
5.5%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
VIT
0 - 0
MIR
45%
28%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 0
MIR
13%
21%
67%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
MIR
0 - 0
COM
86%
11%
3%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
MIR
0 - 1
JUV
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 0
MIR
36%
31%
34%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 5
NOR
31%
26%
43%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 2
MAR
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 1
MAR
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 2
COM
56%
25%
19%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 2
MIR
14%
22%
65%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |