Tercera - Postupové Play Off Semi-finals
Global 4-2
Mirandés vs Jerez Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirandés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
JER
0 - 1
MIR
32%
27%
41%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
MIR
27%
25%
47%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
MIR
4 - 0
PEÑ
71%
18%
12%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
MIR
4 - 1
LMU
68%
19%
14%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
LMU
1 - 3
MIR
33%
25%
42%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Jerez Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
JER
0 - 1
MIR
32%
27%
41%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
JER
3 - 0
SNF
62%
21%
16%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
SNF
0 - 0
JER
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
JER
2 - 0
CLH
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
CLH
0 - 1
JER
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |