Mirandés vs Atl. Astorga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirandés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
BUR
2 - 1
MIR
39%
29%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
MIR
5 - 0
NOR
78%
16%
6%
|
53 | 25 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
MIR
6 - 0
LEO
77%
16%
7%
|
53 | 23 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
BEC
0 - 4
MIR
14%
24%
63%
|
52 | 25 | 27 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
MIR
0 - 0
CEB
79%
15%
6%
|
52 | 16 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
AST
3 - 1
SDA
45%
24%
31%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
CDH
2 - 2
AST
63%
20%
17%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
AST
0 - 2
CAB
36%
27%
37%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
CFP
3 - 1
AST
71%
18%
11%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
AST
1 - 1
SEG
21%
23%
56%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +1 |