Mirandela vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
56.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirandela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
MIR
1 - 0
MAC
16%
20%
65%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
MIR
54%
23%
23%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
MIR
0 - 2
VSC
9%
18%
73%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
MIR
0 - 1
FAF
19%
27%
54%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
MIR
2 - 0
MAR
41%
26%
34%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
FAF
1 - 0
CAN
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
FAF
2 - 2
BRA
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
FAF
33%
29%
39%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
VSC
0 - 1
FAF
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
FAF
0 - 1
MAR
78%
16%
7%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |