Apertura Uruguay round 8

Miramar Misiones vs Cerro CA analysis

Miramar Misiones Cerro CA
81 ELO 81
-6% Tilt -4.2%
499º General ELO ranking 536º
10º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
46.2%
Miramar Misiones
27.2%
Draw
26.6%
Cerro CA

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
Miramar Misiones
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
26.6%
Win probability
Cerro CA
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Miramar Misiones
-15%
-9%
Cerro CA

Points and table prediction

Miramar Misiones
Their league position
Cerro CA
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
10º
16º
15º
15
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Liverpool Montevideo
32
32
100%
Nacional
31
31
100%
Juventud
30
30
100%
Peñarol
24
27
100%
Defensor Sporting
24
24
100%
Racing Montevideo
23
23
100%
Boston River
22
22
100%
Cerro Largo
21
21
100%
Plaza Colonia
19
19
100%
Montevideo City Torque
10º
17
17
10º
100%
Cerro CA
11º
15
15
11º
0%
Progreso
12º
15
15
12º
0%
Montevideo Wanderers
14º
12
12
13º
0%
Danubio
13º
12
12
14º
0%
Miramar Misiones
15º
12
12
15º
0%
River Plate Montevideo
16º
10
10
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Miramar Misiones
Cerro CA
Champion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Miramar Misiones
Cerro CA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Miramar Misiones
Miramar Misiones
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Mar. 2025
MWA
Montevideo Wanderers
1 - 2
Miramar Misiones
CSM
42%
27%
31%
81 81 0 0
16 Mar. 2025
CSM
Miramar Misiones
1 - 1
Progreso
PRO
41%
26%
33%
81 81 0 0
10 Mar. 2025
CSM
Miramar Misiones
1 - 0
Danubio
DAN
45%
27%
28%
81 81 0 0
22 Feb. 2025
CEL
Cerro Largo
3 - 2
Miramar Misiones
CSM
42%
27%
31%
81 81 0 0
16 Feb. 2025
CSM
Miramar Misiones
1 - 2
Juventud
JUV
56%
25%
20%
81 75 6 0

Matches

Cerro CA
Cerro CA
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Mar. 2025
CER
Cerro CA
1 - 1
Danubio
DAN
40%
28%
32%
80 81 1 0
17 Mar. 2025
CEL
Cerro Largo
0 - 0
Cerro CA
CER
49%
27%
25%
80 81 1 0
08 Mar. 2025
CER
Cerro CA
2 - 1
Juventud
JUV
45%
28%
28%
80 76 4 0
22 Feb. 2025
LFC
Liverpool Montevideo
2 - 1
Cerro CA
CER
55%
24%
21%
80 81 1 0
14 Feb. 2025
CER
Cerro CA
0 - 1
Plaza Colonia
PLA
39%
28%
34%
80 80 0 0