Miory vs Smolevichy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
58.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
OSI
1 - 0
MIO
56%
20%
24%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
NEM
4 - 1
MIO
51%
22%
27%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
MIO
4 - 1
MOL
42%
24%
34%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
FCS
4 - 2
MIO
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
DNE
2 - 2
MIO
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Smolevichy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
SMO
6 - 0
MOL
76%
15%
9%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FCS
0 - 2
SMO
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
DIN
2 - 3
SMO
27%
25%
48%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
DNE
0 - 4
SMO
29%
25%
46%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
SMO
7 - 0
ORS
75%
15%
9%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |