Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 1-5
Minsk vs Standard de Liège analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
49%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Minsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
SHA
4 - 1
MIN
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2013 |
MIN
1 - 2
NAF
63%
23%
14%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
STJ
0 - 1
MIN
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
DNP
2 - 2
MIN
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
MIN
0 - 1
STJ
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Standard de Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
SDL
1 - 0
LEU
74%
17%
9%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
GNK
0 - 2
SDL
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
SDL
2 - 1
XAN
63%
22%
15%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
SDL
3 - 0
LIE
76%
17%
7%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
XAN
1 - 2
SDL
33%
28%
39%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |