League Two round 5

Milton Keynes Dons vs Walsall analysis

Milton Keynes Dons Walsall
62 ELO 63
8.5% Tilt 8.5%
3846º General ELO ranking 2368º
101º Country ELO ranking 63º
ELO win probability
41.4%
Milton Keynes Dons
25.3%
Draw
33.2%
Walsall

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
Milton Keynes Dons
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
33.2%
Win probability
Walsall
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Milton Keynes Dons
-30%
-14%
Walsall

Points and table prediction

Milton Keynes Dons
Their league position
Walsall
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
23º
19º
77
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Doncaster Rovers
84
84
100%
Port Vale
80
80
100%
Bradford City
78
78
100%
Walsall
77
77
100%
AFC Wimbledon
73
73
100%
Notts County
72
72
100%
Chesterfield
70
70
100%
Salford City
69
69
100%
Grimsby Town
68
68
100%
Colchester United
10º
67
67
10º
100%
Bromley
11º
66
66
11º
100%
Swindon Town
12º
62
62
12º
0%
Crewe Alexandra
13º
62
62
13º
0%
Fleetwood Town
14º
60
60
14º
0%
Cheltenham Town
15º
60
60
15º
0%
Barrow
16º
59
59
16º
100%
Gillingham
17º
58
58
17º
100%
Harrogate Town
18º
53
53
18º
100%
Milton Keynes Dons
19º
52
52
19º
100%
Tranmere Rovers
20º
51
51
20º
100%
Accrington Stanley
21º
50
50
21º
100%
Newport County
22º
49
49
22º
100%
Carlisle United
23º
42
42
23º
100%
Morecambe
24º
36
36
24º
100%
Expected probabilities
Milton Keynes Dons
Walsall
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Milton Keynes Dons
Walsall
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Milton Keynes Dons
Milton Keynes Dons
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Sep. 2024
SAL
Salford City
1 - 0
Milton Keynes Dons
MKD
35%
25%
40%
62 57 5 0
24 Aug. 2024
MKD
Milton Keynes Dons
3 - 0
Carlisle United
CUM
60%
22%
18%
61 55 6 +1
17 Aug. 2024
COL
Colchester United
2 - 0
Milton Keynes Dons
MKD
29%
25%
45%
62 56 6 -1
13 Aug. 2024
WAT
Watford
5 - 0
Milton Keynes Dons
MKD
67%
19%
14%
62 78 16 0
10 Aug. 2024
MKD
Milton Keynes Dons
1 - 2
Bradford City
BRA
45%
26%
29%
63 65 2 -1

Matches

Walsall
Walsall
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Sep. 2024
BIR
Birmingham City
1 - 1
Walsall
WAL
61%
21%
18%
63 73 10 0
31 Aug. 2024
WAL
Walsall
2 - 1
Cheltenham Town
CHE
50%
26%
24%
63 57 6 0
27 Aug. 2024
WAL
Walsall
3 - 2
Huddersfield Town
HUR
17%
21%
62%
61 74 13 +2
24 Aug. 2024
TRA
Tranmere Rovers
1 - 0
Walsall
WAL
38%
26%
36%
62 59 3 -1
17 Aug. 2024
SWI
Swindon Town
0 - 4
Walsall
WAL
37%
25%
38%
61 56 5 +1