Millwall vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1995 |
BUR
1 - 2
MIL
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1995 |
MIL
2 - 1
TRA
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1995 |
WBA
3 - 0
MIL
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1995 |
MIL
0 - 1
BOL
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1995 |
OPA
3 - 2
MIL
42%
29%
30%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1995 |
POR
1 - 2
GRI
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1995 |
BUR
4 - 3
POR
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1995 |
MID
3 - 0
POR
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1995 |
POR
1 - 0
OPA
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1995 |
BAR
3 - 1
POR
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |