Millwall vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
65.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
MID
1 - 1
MIL
52%
27%
22%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
MIL
0 - 2
BBU
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
MIL
2 - 1
HUL
37%
25%
38%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
IPS
2 - 3
MIL
27%
27%
47%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
MIL
1 - 0
NTT
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
SOU
2 - 1
EVE
26%
24%
50%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
EVE
2 - 0
BOU
61%
21%
18%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
EVE
2 - 1
LIN
75%
17%
8%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
EVE
0 - 1
LEI
49%
24%
27%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
BHA
1 - 0
EVE
25%
24%
52%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |