Millonarios vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
13%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2002 |
CAL
2 - 0
MIL
55%
23%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2002 |
TOL
0 - 0
MIL
47%
25%
29%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
MIL
5 - 0
QUI
60%
21%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
MIL
2 - 1
PAS
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
SFE
0 - 0
MIL
54%
22%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2002 |
CAR
4 - 0
HUI
37%
27%
37%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
IND
0 - 0
CAR
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
CAR
0 - 1
ENV
35%
27%
39%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
IND
2 - 1
CAR
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2002 |
CAR
1 - 0
JUN
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |