Millonarios vs Once Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2013 |
CAL
4 - 2
MIL
50%
26%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
PAS
4 - 1
MIL
39%
27%
33%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2013 |
ONC
2 - 1
MIL
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
MIL
2 - 0
PAS
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2013 |
MIL
0 - 1
CAL
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2013 |
ONC
3 - 1
PAS
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CAL
1 - 0
ONC
47%
26%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2013 |
ONC
2 - 1
MIL
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ONC
1 - 2
CAL
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2013 |
PAS
2 - 1
ONC
39%
27%
34%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |